Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.208903 0.241858 0.278294 0.321568 0.371569 0.427538 0.494965
2025-09-14 0.151921 0.194625 0.246751 0.315066 0.402285 0.509998 0.653288
2025-09-21 0.122466 0.168327 0.228289 0.312443 0.427603 0.579869 0.796885
2025-09-28 0.104344 0.151893 0.217646 0.315230 0.456545 0.654090 0.951933
2025-10-05 0.094655 0.144814 0.217625 0.331043 0.503540 0.756582 1.157157
2025-10-12 0.085704 0.137087 0.214982 0.341693 0.543047 0.851435 1.361393
2025-10-19 0.077882 0.129741 0.211536 0.349962 0.578922 0.943668 1.571341
2025-10-26 0.070328 0.121650 0.205625 0.353045 0.606096 1.024184 1.770699
2025-11-02 0.062635 0.112228 0.196205 0.348777 0.619918 1.083434 1.940152
2025-11-09 0.054901 0.101692 0.183533 0.337112 0.619127 1.116984 2.067652
2025-11-16 0.051082 0.097647 0.181631 0.344147 0.651981 1.212244 2.315666
2025-11-23 0.047028 0.092639 0.177344 0.346125 0.675433 1.292453 2.544009
2025-11-30 0.043657 0.088624 0.174617 0.351057 0.705665 1.389701 2.818747
2025-12-07 0.039242 0.082034 0.166234 0.344009 0.711770 1.441589 3.010801
2025-12-14 0.035816 0.077012 0.160330 0.341145 0.725732 1.510042 3.243745
2025-12-21 0.033355 0.073699 0.157481 0.344188 0.752091 1.606110 3.544980
2025-12-28 0.032421 0.073542 0.161151 0.361453 0.810537 1.774968 4.021734
2026-01-04 0.031047 0.072242 0.162211 0.373080 0.857870 1.924924 4.473711
2026-01-11 0.029566 0.070519 0.162136 0.382109 0.900296 2.068441 4.927267
2026-01-18 0.027788 0.067892 0.159733 0.385475 0.930000 2.186369 5.334580
2026-01-25 0.025623 0.064087 0.154200 0.380815 0.940202 2.260402 5.645540
2026-02-01 0.023156 0.059253 0.145724 0.368079 0.929445 2.283874 5.835598
2026-02-08 0.022138 0.057926 0.145532 0.375759 0.969902 2.434605 6.360520